Tonight’s UFC 153 card as Anderson Silva has the biggest favorite in UFC history as he opened up as a 14 to 1 favorite over Stephan Bonnar.
Silva is currently a 9 to 1 favorite as the betting public has jumped on the value of Bonnar. Other big favorites on tonight’s card are Glover Teixeira and Phil Davis.
All three fighters deserve to be big favorites and there is not much value in taking any of those fighters, unless you look at the various prop bets.
When it comes to prop bets for Anderson Silva, the best prop bet is for him to win by TKO/KO (-210). Bonnar has never been finished in his career. If he can continue this streak, Silva is (+325) to win by decision.
When it comes to underdogs on this card, there are several value plays that are on the board. The best values in underdogs that may win tonight at Jon Fitch (+130), Dave Herman (+280), Sam Sicilia (+230) and Chris Camozzi (+143).
Below are the top 5 plays for UFC 153:
1. Jon Fitch
2. Anderson Silva to win by TKO/KO
3. Sam Sicilia
4. Glover Teixeira by TKO/KO
5. Phil Davis by decision